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Saturday, January 29, 2011

29.1.11 - No bets today.

No Bets Today:
There's a couple of horses running at Sandown today that I don't mind the look of, but I'm really only concerned with backing the cream of the crop, so I'll give them a miss this time around.

Out of interest, those two horses are At the Heads in Race 4, which at $2, is probably a little too short, and Simply Put in Race 8, which I would rate around a 20% chance of winning, so wouldn't accept anything less than $6.  Good luck if you decide to have a go, but I'll just be watching from the sidelines today.

UpdateAfter hitting the lead 400m out, At the Heads ran very flat in the final 200m, and finished a disappointing 3rd, 2.5 lengths away from a roughie winner.  Simply Put dashed home down the straight to win by a half-head and saluted at odds of at least $9 on BetFair.  

Saturday, January 22, 2011

22.1.11 Bets

I thought I might try to revive this blog with a new post today.  Just two bets for today.
Flemington Race 6 Grand Duels
Rosehill Race 8 Parthian
Take them for the win.
Good luck.

Update: Well, we struck a bit of fortune with Grand Duels saluting in the Kensington Stakes.  Steven Arnold steered him into the clear by the 500m, patiently kept him in position until the 200m and Grand Duels shot through like a rubber band at the 200m when Arnold pressed the button.  In the end, he won comfortably by a half length over Warm Love and Cardinal Virtue.  He's definitely one of my favourite jockeys, as he rides with lots of discipline.  I got on Grand Duels at $7.00 fixed odds, which I'm pretty  happy with considering best tote was $6.80, Top Fluc was $6.50 and SP was $6.00, but I understand that $9 could have been had in the early bird betting.

By comparison, Parthian seemed to have a disappointing ride, as it seemed to burn too much energy at the start, only to be ridden several lengths back in the middle of the race, and was then ridden aggressively again 400m out.  To Parthian's credit, he hit the front at the 200m, but had given all he had by that point, and was easily run over the top of at the line, finishing 5th.